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TY  - THES
AU  - Mann, Pierre
TI  - Einfluss klimapolitischer Maßnahmen auf die Struktur der zukünftigen deutschen Stromnachfrage; 1. Auflage
VL  - 216
PB  - RWTH Aachen University
VL  - Dissertation
CY  - Aachen
M1  - RWTH-2022-04038
SN  - 978-3-9823362-0-6
T2  - Aachener Beiträge zur Energieversorgung
SP  - ix, 236 Seiten : Illustrationen, Diagramme
PY  - 2022
N1  - Dissertation, RWTH Aachen University, 2021
AB  - The change of the final net energy demand for electrical energy (electricity demand) in Germany is characterized by socio-demographic and technological developments as well as the evolution of the economic framework conditions. The changes in electricity demand concern the energy demand, its temporal course and its regional location as well as its flexibility, in summary the structure of electricity demand. Climate policy goals such as efficiency improvements and electrification of the heat and transport sectors will change the structure of future electricity demand. Therefore, the aim of this work is to develop a computer-based methodological approach to determine the structure of future demand considering climate policy goals. Within the scope of this work, a bottom-up approach was developed that simulates the structure of demand for households, tertiary sector and industrial enterprises as well as the transport sector on a community- or county-specific basis depending on consumer behavior, efficiency measures and technological developments. For the individual sectors, specific approaches are used that include Markov chain models, regression models, synthetic time series and standard load profiles. The application of the method for the year 2018 shows a high consistency with the historical electricity demand structure and thus validates the applicability of the developed method. The exemplary analysis of three future scenarios based on the Netzentwicklungsplan Strom 2035 (2021) of the German transmission system operators illustrates the significant influence of efficiency increases stimulated by climate policy goals and the electrification of heat and mobility applications on the future structure of electricity demand.
LB  - PUB:(DE-HGF)11 ; PUB:(DE-HGF)3
UR  - https://publications.rwth-aachen.de/record/844595
ER  -