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TY  - THES
AU  - Schrömbges, Michael Sebastian
TI  - Auswirkung von Fahrzeugautomatisierung auf den Pkw-Bestand: eine Prognose anhand eines Pkw-Verfügbarkeitsmodells
PB  - Rheinisch-Westfälische Technische Hochschule Aachen
VL  - Dissertation
CY  - Aachen
M1  - RWTH-2024-11474
SP  - 1 Online-Ressource : Illustrationen
PY  - 2024
N1  - Veröffentlicht auf dem Publikationsserver der RWTH Aachen University 2025
N1  - Dissertation, Rheinisch-Westfälische Technische Hochschule Aachen, 2024
AB  - Private passenger cars are the most common means of transportation (Eurostat 2023; infas, DLR et al. 2019b; ITF 2023), but they hinder mobility transition and climate protection goals (UBA 2023). Consequently, the objective of transportation planning must be to regulate the growth of car ownership in the future. In this context, the emergence of highly automated vehicles could facilitate two developments: On the one hand, highly automated private cars promote motorized individual transport (MIT), as travel time can be used differently and parking is made easier (Gkartzonikas, Gkritza 2019; Nordhoff, Kyriakidis et al. 2019). On the other hand, highly automated shared vehicle fleets can complement public transport by improving accessibility to destinations (Dianin, Ravazzoli et al. 2021). However, it remains uncertain whether automated private cars will increase the number of cars or whether automated vehicle fleets will replace private vehicles. Against this background, the objective of this study is to examine the relationship between vehicle automation and car ownership. To this end, a model of car availability in Germany is developed, which includes information on the transportation supply. As vehicle automation will enable boarding and alighting at individually chosen locations and improve the accessibility of destinations, the transportation supply will accordingly change. These changes are examined in vehicle automation scenarios for the year 2050 using the car availability model. In the developed car availability model, vehicle automation affects the transportation supply as follows: Highly automated private cars enable valet parking and could improve the nationwide accessibility of destinations by nearly five times compared to conventional cars through a change in the perception of travel time. This would increase the attractiveness of highly automated private cars, potentially leading to a growth in the car fleet by up to +8
LB  - PUB:(DE-HGF)11
DO  - DOI:10.18154/RWTH-2024-11474
UR  - https://publications.rwth-aachen.de/record/998597
ER  -